List of Articles: Trends and Cycles

I. Long-Term Trends in Nature and Society

• Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey
  Introduction. Modeling and Measuring Cycles, Processes, and Trends  
• Grinin, Leonid; Markov, Alexander V.; Korotayev, Andrey
  Mathematical Modeling of Biological and Social Evolutionary Macrotrends  
• Harper, Tony
  The World System Trajectory: The Reality of Constraints and the Potential for Prediction  
• Thompson, William R.; Kentaro Sakuwa
  Another, Simpler Look: Was Wealth Really Determined in 8000 BCE, 1000 BCE, 0 CE, or Even 1500 CE? 

II. Cyclical Processes in Pre-industrial Societies

• Gavrilets, Sergey; Anderson, David G.; Turchin, Peter
  Cycling in the Complexity of Early Societies 
• Baker, David
  Demographic-Structural Theory and the Roman Dominate 
• Nefedov, Sergey
  Modeling Malthusian Dynamics in Pre-industrial Societies: Mathematical Modeling 

III. Contemporary History and Processes

• Korotayev, Andrey; Malkov, Sergey; Grinin, Leonid
  A Trap at the Escape from the Trap? Some Demographic Structural Factors of Political Instability in Modernizing Social Systems 
• Tausch, Arno; Heshmati, Almas
  Labour Migration and ‘Smart Public Health 
• Howell, Anthony
  Is Geography ‘Dead’ or ‘Destiny’ in a Globalizing World? A Network Analysis and Latent Space Modeling Approach of the World Trade Network 
• Crawford, Kent R.; Mitiukov, Nicholas W.
  The British-Italian Performance in the Mediterranean from the Artillery Perspective 
• Shishkina, Alisa R.; Issaev, Leonid M.; Truevtsev, Konstantin M.; Korotayev, Andrey
  The Shield of Islam? Islamic Factor of HIV Prevalence in Africa